← Explore · Market 2589810

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

1.6% implied · bid 1.5¢ · ask 1.7¢

The market prices this at 1.5%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability1.5%

Bid / ask / mid1.5¢ / 1.7¢ / 1.6¢

Spread0.2¢ (12.5%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.95pt

Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$82

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,584 / $78

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score53.3 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.44

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.05pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 110d 21h.

Time to resolve110d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%