← Explore · Market 2589810
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
1.3% implied · bid 1.2¢ · ask 1.3¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.2%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability1.2%
Bid / ask / mid1.2¢ / 1.3¢ / 1.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d-0.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 57/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$582
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,021 / $869
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score57.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.75
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 64d 22h.
Time to resolve64d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%