← Explore · Market 2589811
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
4.3% implied · bid 4.2¢ · ask 4.3¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.4%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability4.4%
Bid / ask / mid4.2¢ / 4.3¢ / 4.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (2.4%)
Change 24h-0.20pt
Change 7d-0.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,724
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,338 / $1,755
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.55
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.05pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 64d 22h.
Time to resolve64d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%