← Explore · Market 2589811
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
12.0% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (16.7%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,832
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$200 / $4,738
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 43 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.45
RSI (14, hourly)42.9
Realized vol 7d0.53pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 110d 21h.
Time to resolve110d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%