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← Explore · Market 2589812

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

70.5% implied · bid 70.0¢ · ask 71.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 70.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability70.0%
Bid / ask / mid70.0¢ / 71.0¢ / 70.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+3.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$432
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,122 / $1,743
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.13
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.18pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 110d 21h.

Time to resolve110d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth