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← Explore · Market 2589813

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

24.5% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 25.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 24.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability24.0%
Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 25.0¢ / 24.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 22% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$742
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$324,560 / $22,621
Imbalance22% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.30
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.20pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 64d 22h.

Time to resolve64d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth