← Explore · Market 2589813
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
15.5% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 17.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 16.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability16.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 17.0¢ / 15.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (19.4%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$519
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$474 / $443
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.98
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d0.38pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 110d 21h.
Time to resolve110d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%