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← Explore · Market 2589833

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

57.5% implied · bid 57.0¢ · ask 58.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 58.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability58.0%
Bid / ask / mid57.0¢ / 58.0¢ / 57.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$189
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$441 / $4,896
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.19
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.65pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 64d 22h.

Time to resolve64d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth