← Explore · Market 2589833
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
45.5% implied · bid 45.0¢ · ask 46.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 46.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability46.0%
Bid / ask / mid45.0¢ / 46.0¢ / 45.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 77/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$695
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$24,597 / $38,531
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score76.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.74
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.39pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 110d 21h.
Time to resolve110d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%