← Explore · Market 2589834
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
5.6% implied · bid 5.3¢ · ask 5.9¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.8%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability5.8%
Bid / ask / mid5.3¢ / 5.9¢ / 5.6¢
Spread0.6¢ (10.7%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7d+3.45pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$223
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$195 / $513
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.27
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.40pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 110d 21h.
Time to resolve110d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%