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← Explore · Market 2589834

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

5.6% implied · bid 5.3¢ · ask 5.9¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 5.8%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.

Implied probability5.8%
Bid / ask / mid5.3¢ / 5.9¢ / 5.6¢
Spread0.6¢ (10.7%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7d+3.45pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$223
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$195 / $513
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.27
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.40pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 110d 21h.

Time to resolve110d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth