← Explore · Market 2589834

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

2.8% implied · bid 2.2¢ · ask 3.3¢

The market prices this at 1.9%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.9%

Bid / ask / mid2.2¢ / 3.3¢ / 2.8¢

Spread1.1¢ (40.0%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d-0.60pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$25

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$56 / $287

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score44.7 / 100

RSI 77 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.75

RSI (14, hourly)77.1

Realized vol 7d0.36pt

Change 1h+0.15pt

Resolves in 64d 22h.

Time to resolve64d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%