← Explore · Market 2589835

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

1.0% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 1.6¢

The market prices this at 1.5%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.

Implied probability1.5%

Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 1.6¢ / 1.0¢

Spread1.2¢ (120.0%)

Change 24h-0.10pt

Change 7d+0.45pt

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11 / $199

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score44.1 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.82

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.07pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 64d 22h.

Time to resolve64d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%