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← Explore · Market 2589835

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

1.7% implied · bid 1.6¢ · ask 1.7¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.3%, up 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability2.3%
Bid / ask / mid1.6¢ / 1.7¢ / 1.7¢
Spread0.1¢ (6.1%)
Change 24h+0.35pt
Change 7d-0.80pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$620
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$178 / $182
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 66 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.16
RSI (14, hourly)65.5
Realized vol 7d0.14pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 110d 21h.

Time to resolve110d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth