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← Explore · Market 2589837

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

47.5% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 48.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 47.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability47.0%
Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 48.0¢ / 47.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d+9.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 76/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 17% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$13,892
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$26,207 / $35,618
Imbalance17% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score75.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.50
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.65pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 110d 21h.

Time to resolve110d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth