← Explore · Market 2589837
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
47.5% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 48.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 47.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability47.0%
Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 48.0¢ / 47.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d+9.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 76/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 17% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$13,892
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$26,207 / $35,618
Imbalance17% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score75.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.50
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.65pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 110d 21h.
Time to resolve110d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%