← Explore · Market 2589837
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
40.5% implied · bid 40.0¢ · ask 41.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 40.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability40.0%
Bid / ask / mid40.0¢ / 41.0¢ / 40.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,083
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,477 / $1,283
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.55
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.15pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 64d 22h.
Time to resolve64d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%