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← Explore · Market 2589855

Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?

12.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 13.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 12.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-10.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 30% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$555
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,238 / $880
Imbalance30% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.80
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.69pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 24d 14h.

Time to resolve24d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth