← Explore · Market 2589856
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
86.0% implied · bid 85.0¢ · ask 87.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 87.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability87.0%
Bid / ask / mid85.0¢ / 87.0¢ / 86.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.3%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d+12.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 28% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$656
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,462 / $16,773
Imbalance28% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score51.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.72
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.75pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 24d 14h.
Time to resolve24d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%