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← Explore · Market 2589857

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

1.1% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 1.1¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.1%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.1%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 1.1¢ / 1.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.05pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$293
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$137 / $237
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.93
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.02pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 24d 14h.

Time to resolve24d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth