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← Explore · Market 2591124

Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?

41.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 72.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 41.5%, down 4.5pt over 24h, on a 61.0¢ spread.

Implied probability41.5%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 72.0¢ / 41.5¢
Spread61.0¢ (147.0%)
Change 24h-4.50pt
Change 7d+6.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 39 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.21
RSI (14, hourly)38.5
Realized vol 7d5.41pt
Change 1h+8.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth