← Explore · Market 2602765
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
12.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 14.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (24.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$18 / $45
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.30
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.17pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 85d 21h.
Time to resolve85d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%