← Explore · Market 2607853
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
93.5% implied · bid 93.0¢ · ask 94.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 93.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability93.0%
Bid / ask / mid93.0¢ / 94.0¢ / 93.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 46% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,814
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$137,808 / $185,720
Imbalance46% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.49
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.12pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%