← Explore · Market 2610235

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?

0.5% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.8¢

The market prices this at 0.6%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability0.6%

Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.8¢ / 0.5¢

Spread0.5¢ (90.9%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.15pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$53 / $24

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.5 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.25

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.02pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 7d 2h.

Time to resolve7d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%