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← Explore · Market 2611536

Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by July 31, 2026?

100.0% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.9%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.9%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 100.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+0.20pt
Change 7d+27.45pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 69/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$8,581
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$38,156 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score68.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.99
RSI (14, hourly)51.8
Realized vol 7d1.77pt
Change 1h+2.65pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth