← Explore · Market 2633430
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
12.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-11.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 74/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$6,418
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$37,748 / $19,332
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score73.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.54
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.35pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 52d 21h.
Time to resolve52d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%