← Explore · Market 2639519
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
2.5% implied · bid 2.2¢ · ask 2.8¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.9%, down 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability2.9%
Bid / ask / mid2.2¢ / 2.8¢ / 2.5¢
Spread0.6¢ (24.0%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d-1.25pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,122
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,016 / $1,716
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.49
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.21pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 1h.
Time to resolve21d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%