← Explore · Market 2646849
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
0.4% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.4¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.3%, down 0.8pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability0.3%
Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.4¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.1¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h-0.75pt
Change 7d-3.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$133,079
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$246 / $4,125
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score51.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 20 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.66
RSI (14, hourly)20.0
Realized vol 7d3.61pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 21h.
Time to resolve0d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%