← Explore · Market 2646914

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

77.6% implied · bid 77.5¢ · ask 77.8¢

The market prices this at 77.7%, up 2.8pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability77.7%

Bid / ask / mid77.5¢ / 77.8¢ / 77.6¢

Spread0.3¢ (0.4%)

Change 24h+2.80pt

Change 7d+8.50pt

Deep and tight (score 99/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$11,687

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$22,388 / $132,595

Imbalance6% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score98.5 / 100

RSI 90 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.57

RSI (14, hourly)90.2

Realized vol 7d0.44pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 36d 22h.

Time to resolve36d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%