← Explore · Market 2646919
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
9.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 10.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 9.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (10.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$210
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,945 / $4,072
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.95
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.16pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 36d 22h.
Time to resolve36d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%