← Explore · Market 2646928
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
4.2% implied · bid 3.2¢ · ask 5.1¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.3%, up 1.2pt over 24h, on a 1.9¢ spread.
Implied probability4.3%
Bid / ask / mid3.2¢ / 5.1¢ / 4.2¢
Spread1.9¢ (45.8%)
Change 24h+1.15pt
Change 7d-4.25pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,712
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$318 / $456
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 92 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.01
RSI (14, hourly)92.0
Realized vol 7d0.17pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 36d 22h.
Time to resolve36d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%