← Explore · Market 2658302
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
13.0% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 14.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-9.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$18,964
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$582 / $539
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 55 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.35
RSI (14, hourly)55.0
Realized vol 7d0.74pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 51d 21h.
Time to resolve51d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%