← Explore · Market 2658302

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

2.5% implied · bid 2.2¢ · ask 2.9¢

The market prices this at 4.1%, up 0.7pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.

Implied probability4.1%

Bid / ask / mid2.2¢ / 2.9¢ / 2.5¢

Spread0.7¢ (27.5%)

Change 24h+0.70pt

Change 7d-0.75pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$21,523

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,081 / $1,815

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.9 / 100

RSI 59 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.36

RSI (14, hourly)59.5

Realized vol 7d0.18pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 7d 2h.

Time to resolve7d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%