← Explore · Market 2658303

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

20.5% implied · bid 20.0¢ · ask 21.0¢

The market prices this at 21.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability21.0%

Bid / ask / mid20.0¢ / 21.0¢ / 20.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (4.9%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-7.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$12,108

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$581 / $56

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.3 / 100

RSI 56 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.24

RSI (14, hourly)56.3

Realized vol 7d0.86pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 81d 21h.

Time to resolve81d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%