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Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

6.5% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 7.0¢

The market prices this at 6.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%

Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (15.4%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-3.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$8,515

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,628 / $1,923

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score48.8 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.41

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.24pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 37d 2h.

Time to resolve37d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%