← Explore · Market 2659165
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
61.5% implied · bid 60.0¢ · ask 63.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 53.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability53.0%
Bid / ask / mid60.0¢ / 63.0¢ / 61.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (4.9%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-5.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,676
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$237 / $363
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 61 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.04
RSI (14, hourly)61.2
Realized vol 7d3.77pt
Change 1h+10.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 174d 21h.
Time to resolve174d 21h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%