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← Explore · Market 2661518

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

0.4% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.4%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.

Implied probability0.4%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.8¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.7¢ (155.6%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d-0.20pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,561
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $66
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.59
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.02pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 23d 22h.

Time to resolve23d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth