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← Explore · Market 2661520

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

8.9% implied · bid 8.5¢ · ask 9.3¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 7.6%, up 2.6pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.

Implied probability7.6%
Bid / ask / mid8.5¢ / 9.3¢ / 8.9¢
Spread0.8¢ (9.0%)
Change 24h+2.60pt
Change 7d-0.40pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,475
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$534 / $736
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 65 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.37
RSI (14, hourly)64.7
Realized vol 7d0.43pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 23d 22h.

Time to resolve23d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth