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← Explore · Market 2661520

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

16.0% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 18.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 18.5%, down 7.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability18.5%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 16.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (25.0%)
Change 24h-6.95pt
Change 7d+10.30pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,739
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$64 / $194
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score30.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 12 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.16
RSI (14, hourly)12.0
Realized vol 7d1.40pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 69d 21h.

Time to resolve69d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth