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← Explore · Market 2661522

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?

32.0% implied · bid 31.0¢ · ask 33.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 33.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability33.0%
Bid / ask / mid31.0¢ / 33.0¢ / 32.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (6.3%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-4.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,117 / $1,897
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.14
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.38pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 17d 22h.

Time to resolve17d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth