← Explore · Market 2661523

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?

55.0% implied · bid 53.0¢ · ask 57.0¢

The market prices this at 57.0%, up 11.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability57.0%

Bid / ask / mid53.0¢ / 57.0¢ / 55.0¢

Spread4.0¢ (7.3%)

Change 24h+11.00pt

Change 7d+5.50pt

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,824

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$91 / $86

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score30.1 / 100

RSI 80 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.24

RSI (14, hourly)80.0

Realized vol 7d1.01pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 63d 21h.

Time to resolve63d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%