← Explore · Market 2661523

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?

68.0% implied · bid 67.0¢ · ask 69.0¢

The market prices this at 69.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability69.0%

Bid / ask / mid67.0¢ / 69.0¢ / 68.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (2.9%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7d+4.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$789

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,324 / $5,932

Imbalance6% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score43.6 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.10

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.56pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 17d 22h.

Time to resolve17d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%