← Explore · Market 2661524
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?
0.9% implied · bid 0.8¢ · ask 1.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.2%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability1.2%
Bid / ask / mid0.8¢ / 1.0¢ / 0.9¢
Spread0.2¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d-0.40pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$916
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$50 / $301
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.57
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 17d 22h.
Time to resolve17d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%