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Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?

13.1% implied · bid 8.2¢ · ask 18.0¢

The market prices this at 8.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 9.8¢ spread.

Implied probability8.0%

Bid / ask / mid8.2¢ / 18.0¢ / 13.1¢

Spread9.8¢ (74.8%)

Change 24h+1.95pt

Change 7d+7.40pt

Thin (score 1/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$144

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6 / $6

Imbalance2% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score1.0 / 100

RSI 91 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.40

RSI (14, hourly)90.6

Realized vol 7d0.82pt

Change 1h+1.15pt

Resolves in 63d 21h.

Time to resolve63d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%