← Explore · Market 2668020
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
76.0% implied · bid 75.0¢ · ask 77.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 77.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability77.0%
Bid / ask / mid75.0¢ / 77.0¢ / 76.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 47% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,567
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,346 / $345
Imbalance47% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.78
RSI (14, hourly)56.7
Realized vol 7d3.85pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 174d 21h.
Time to resolve174d 21h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%