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Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

85.5% implied · bid 85.0¢ · ask 86.0¢

The market prices this at 85.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability85.0%

Bid / ask / mid85.0¢ / 86.0¢ / 85.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)

Change 24h+2.00pt

Change 7d+2.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 72/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 32% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$32,866

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$23,554 / $29,980

Imbalance32% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score71.8 / 100

RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.97

RSI (14, hourly)33.3

Realized vol 7d1.52pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 21d 21h.

Time to resolve21d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%