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Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

58.0% implied · bid 57.0¢ · ask 59.0¢

The market prices this at 59.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability59.0%

Bid / ask / mid57.0¢ / 59.0¢ / 58.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (3.4%)

Change 24h+6.00pt

Change 7d+15.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,479

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$432 / $1,008

Imbalance3% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score40.7 / 100

RSI 83 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.42

RSI (14, hourly)83.3

Realized vol 7d1.93pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 21d 21h.

Time to resolve21d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%