← Explore · Market 2674108
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
66.0% implied · bid 64.0¢ · ask 68.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 69.0%, up 4.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability69.0%
Bid / ask / mid64.0¢ / 68.0¢ / 66.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (6.1%)
Change 24h+4.50pt
Change 7d+17.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,964
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$193 / $174
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 90 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.45
RSI (14, hourly)90.0
Realized vol 7d1.81pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 21h.
Time to resolve21d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%