← Explore · Market 2676310

Ukraine coup attempt by December 31?

7.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 8.0¢

The market prices this at 11.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%

Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (13.3%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7d-3.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$45,054

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$32 / $41

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.0 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.30

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.58pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%