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Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

4.8% implied · bid 4.6¢ · ask 4.9¢

The market prices this at 5.2%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability5.2%

Bid / ask / mid4.6¢ / 4.9¢ / 4.8¢

Spread0.3¢ (6.3%)

Change 24h-0.35pt

Change 7d-10.25pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$13,569

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,581 / $692

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score50.1 / 100

RSI 59 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.63

RSI (14, hourly)59.1

Realized vol 7d0.50pt

Change 1h-0.10pt

Resolves in 7d 2h.

Time to resolve7d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%