← Explore · Market 2696746
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
2.1% implied · bid 1.8¢ · ask 2.4¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.5%, down 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability2.5%
Bid / ask / mid1.8¢ / 2.4¢ / 2.1¢
Spread0.6¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d-0.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$52,508
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,712 / $592
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score50.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.86
RSI (14, hourly)51.7
Realized vol 7d0.12pt
Change 1h-0.35pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 37d 3h.
Time to resolve37d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%