← Explore · Market 2696747
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
10.5% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 11.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 62/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$120,848
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$28,373 / $5,082
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score61.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.31
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.48pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 4h.
Time to resolve129d 4h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%