← Explore · Market 2696758

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 7?

0.9% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 1.7¢

The market prices this at 6.2%, down 2.1pt over 24h, on a 1.5¢ spread.

Implied probability6.2%

Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 1.7¢ / 0.9¢

Spread1.5¢ (157.9%)

Change 24h-2.15pt

Change 7d-0.75pt

Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$205

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $480

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score42.7 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean5.21

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.63pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%