← Explore · Market 2696759
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?
2.9% implied · bid 2.8¢ · ask 2.9¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.8%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability2.8%
Bid / ask / mid2.8¢ / 2.9¢ / 2.9¢
Spread0.1¢ (3.5%)
Change 24h-0.25pt
Change 7d-0.40pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,904
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,080 / $699
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 4 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)3.5
Realized vol 7d0.55pt
Change 1h-0.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 4d 21h.
Time to resolve4d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%