← Explore · Market 2696760

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

10.8% implied · bid 9.8¢ · ask 11.7¢

The market prices this at 11.2%, up 0.8pt over 24h, on a 1.9¢ spread.

Implied probability11.2%

Bid / ask / mid9.8¢ / 11.7¢ / 10.8¢

Spread1.9¢ (17.7%)

Change 24h+0.80pt

Change 7d+5.25pt

Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$9,987

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,614 / $73

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score41.8 / 100

RSI 47 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.80

RSI (14, hourly)47.4

Realized vol 7d0.52pt

Change 1h-0.40pt

Resolves in 21d 21h.

Time to resolve21d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%