← Explore · Market 2698663
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?
20.5% implied · bid 18.0¢ · ask 23.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 24.0%, down 13.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability24.0%
Bid / ask / mid18.0¢ / 23.0¢ / 20.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (24.4%)
Change 24h-13.00pt
Change 7d-34.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,429
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$52 / $407
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.04
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d5.10pt
Change 1h-4.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 14d 13h.
Time to resolve14d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%