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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

9.1% implied · bid 8.3¢ · ask 9.9¢

The market prices this at 6.9%, down 4.9pt over 24h, on a 1.6¢ spread.

Implied probability6.9%

Bid / ask / mid8.3¢ / 9.9¢ / 9.1¢

Spread1.6¢ (17.6%)

Change 24h-4.90pt

Change 7d-23.80pt

Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,525

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$42 / $98

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score42.1 / 100

RSI 39 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.15

RSI (14, hourly)39.1

Realized vol 7d4.83pt

Change 1h-0.10pt

Resolves in 21d 21h.

Time to resolve21d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%