← Explore · Market 2698773
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026?
11.8% implied · bid 11.2¢ · ask 12.3¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 16.3%, down 4.7pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.
Implied probability16.3%
Bid / ask / mid11.2¢ / 12.3¢ / 11.8¢
Spread1.1¢ (9.4%)
Change 24h-4.70pt
Change 7d+6.90pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$134 / $112
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 42 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.85
RSI (14, hourly)41.7
Realized vol 7d2.14pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 21h.
Time to resolve21d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%