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← Explore · Market 2698773

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026?

11.8% implied · bid 11.2¢ · ask 12.3¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 16.3%, down 4.7pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.

Implied probability16.3%
Bid / ask / mid11.2¢ / 12.3¢ / 11.8¢
Spread1.1¢ (9.4%)
Change 24h-4.70pt
Change 7d+6.90pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$134 / $112
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 42 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.85
RSI (14, hourly)41.7
Realized vol 7d2.14pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 21d 21h.

Time to resolve21d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth