← Explore · Market 2698774
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?
28.9% implied · bid 28.1¢ · ask 29.8¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.7%, up 8.3pt over 24h, on a 1.7¢ spread.
Implied probability13.7%
Bid / ask / mid28.1¢ / 29.8¢ / 28.9¢
Spread1.7¢ (5.9%)
Change 24h+8.35pt
Change 7d+27.90pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$418
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$130 / $149
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 56 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.07
RSI (14, hourly)56.5
Realized vol 7d3.65pt
Change 1h+1.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 21h.
Time to resolve21d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%