← Explore · Market 2698776
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
22.5% implied · bid 22.0¢ · ask 23.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 23.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability23.0%
Bid / ask / mid22.0¢ / 23.0¢ / 22.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d+7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$443
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$372 / $12
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 56 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.77
RSI (14, hourly)55.9
Realized vol 7d2.15pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 21h.
Time to resolve21d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%