a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market 2698784

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?

75.5% implied · bid 75.0¢ · ask 76.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 76.0%, down 8.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability76.0%
Bid / ask / mid75.0¢ / 76.0¢ / 75.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h-8.00pt
Change 7d-13.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,778
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$140 / $2,626
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.12
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d2.55pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 21d 21h.

Time to resolve21d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth