← Explore · Market 2698814

Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?

43.0% implied · bid 42.2¢ · ask 43.8¢

The market prices this at 42.3%, up 20.8pt over 24h, on a 1.6¢ spread.

Implied probability42.3%

Bid / ask / mid42.2¢ / 43.8¢ / 43.0¢

Spread1.6¢ (3.7%)

Change 24h+20.80pt

Change 7d+18.75pt

Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,273

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$641 / $1,580

Imbalance3% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score43.1 / 100

RSI 40 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.20

RSI (14, hourly)40.2

Realized vol 7d1.70pt

Change 1h-0.10pt

Resolves in 128d 22h.

Time to resolve128d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%