← Explore · Market 2698815
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?
47.5% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 48.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 48.0%, down 21.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability48.0%
Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 48.0¢ / 47.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h-21.00pt
Change 7d-18.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,558
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$339 / $294
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.38
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.60pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 128d 22h.
Time to resolve128d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%