← Explore · Market 2698816
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?
6.5% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 8.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 6.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (46.2%)
Change 24h-4.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$380
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$100 / $52
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 57 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.51
RSI (14, hourly)57.1
Realized vol 7d0.72pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 128d 22h.
Time to resolve128d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%